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Toadwater  |  Toadwater Inn  |  A Helping Hand  |  Topic: Gold radishes on personal island 0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.
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Author Topic: Gold radishes on personal island  (Read 4181 times)
kaaskop
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« on: July 31, 2011, 08:15:30 pm »

I read somewhere that you get like 1 every crop on average. But I don't think thats true.
Can some one tel me the actual odds of it?
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Lackey Twisti
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« Reply #1 on: July 31, 2011, 08:56:44 pm »

It's true. That's the actual odds.
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<+farmyb> id say my spelling and grammar is pretty good
Travis
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« Reply #2 on: July 31, 2011, 09:08:09 pm »

Not true.  The odds are 30% per crop.
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Lackey Twisti
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« Reply #3 on: July 31, 2011, 09:38:17 pm »

You changed it ?
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<+farmyb> id say my spelling and grammar is pretty good
kaaskop
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« Reply #4 on: July 31, 2011, 10:28:30 pm »

Well then something is wrong on my island, because I get the normal 1/10
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Travis
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« Reply #5 on: August 01, 2011, 01:32:46 am »

You changed it ?

Yes, a long time ago.
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arp
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10:30:53 pm [rebel]arp found 5 Gold Radishes!


« Reply #6 on: August 01, 2011, 05:10:02 am »

The common knowledge has always been that you are 4x as likely to find a GR while farming on your island.  Since normal odds are 1 GR in 10 crops, the improved odds would be 1 GR in 2.5 crops.
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kaaskop
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« Reply #7 on: August 01, 2011, 10:04:41 am »

I'm confused. So what is it? 1 per 2.5 crop or 1 per crop or 30%?
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Travis
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« Reply #8 on: August 01, 2011, 03:19:40 pm »

It's 30% according to the code.

Try planting 25 crops and counting how many grs you find.
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Lackey Twisti
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« Reply #9 on: August 01, 2011, 04:01:35 pm »

The odds of finding 30% GRs in a test sample of 25 are exactly 0.00% ;)
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<+farmyb> id say my spelling and grammar is pretty good
kaaskop
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« Reply #10 on: August 01, 2011, 06:41:44 pm »

I just farmed 25 crops on my island and I found 10 radishes.
So is Arp right then? Its 0,25%?

Because it's definitely not 30%...would be sweet though haha.

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Travis
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« Reply #11 on: August 01, 2011, 07:35:13 pm »

Code wise, it's 30%.  It's all based off random numbers, so until your sample size is infinite big, it'll be close.  For your 25 crops, you found four for every 10 which is 40%.  That's 10% higher than expected, but not unreasonable.
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Lackey Twisti
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« Reply #12 on: August 02, 2011, 12:32:54 am »

I think the misunderstanding here is that kaaskop thinks people mean we are talking about crops filled with 100 GRs when we say 100%, while the rest of us means 100% odds of finding ONE GR in a crop. Or 30%, as the matter may be.
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<+farmyb> id say my spelling and grammar is pretty good
kaaskop
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« Reply #13 on: August 02, 2011, 10:37:35 am »

I think the misunderstanding here is that kaaskop thinks people mean we are talking about crops filled with 100 GRs when we say 100%, while the rest of us means 100% odds of finding ONE GR in a crop. Or 30%, as the matter may be.

This exactly. But I got it now, thanks for the info:)
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[EH?]lazyguy
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« Reply #14 on: August 03, 2011, 04:52:03 am »

I think everyone in this thread needs to go back to statistics 101 and learn what a confidence interval in hypothesis testing is.

Also, a sample population of only 25 is hardly enough for a real statistician.
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Sgt Mayer
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« Reply #15 on: August 04, 2011, 03:39:55 am »

are the odds to FF and DCMs better on personal islands?
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I'm standing on the edge of some crazy cliff. What I have to do, I have to catch everybody if they start to go over the cliff I mean if they're running and they don't look where they're going I have to come out from somewhere and catch them. That's all I'd do all day...

Above all. . .Semper Fi
arp
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10:30:53 pm [rebel]arp found 5 Gold Radishes!


« Reply #16 on: August 04, 2011, 06:11:12 am »

Not that I know of, but I haven't bothered with a large enough crop number to test it accurately...
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10:24:01 pm arp washed 7 Sun Fungus, now it's very shiny. Odds:(0.01%)
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